2024年11月5日 · Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 50 times out of 100

2024年11月4日 · The Final Forecast. Entering Election Day, Donald Trump is a slight favorite to win the 2024 election, though the outcome is effectively a toss-up. Neither candidate is clearly favored in...

2024年11月5日 · According to 538’s final House forecast, the Republican Party is in real danger of losing the chamber entirely in 2024. We give them a 49-in-100 chance of controlling the House, while Democrats ...

2024年11月4日 · The AllSides 2024 Presidential Election Forecast Model takes into account national and state horse race polling, favorability polling, history of past elections, and more to estimate the percentage vote share of each candidate in the 2024 presidential election and the probability that they will win a district, state, and the electoral college.

2024年11月5日 · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It …

2024年11月4日 · A look at the latest forecasts for Democrats and Republicans, based on combined ratings from three nonpartisan political analysts.

2024年11月4日 · This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue. As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024.

2024年11月5日 · According to 538's final House forecast, the Republican Party is in real danger of losing the chamber entirely in 2024. We give them a 49-in-100 chance of controlling the House, while Democrats...

2024年6月11日 · For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the forecast, how we process them and how we ...

2024年11月4日 · Overall, our models indicate that Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. While how she gets to 270 electoral votes differs from model to model, all three of us predict that the blue wall states – including Pennsylvania – will …