El Niño & La Niña (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) - NOAA …
2024年11月14日 · Watch: Issued when conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño or La Niña conditions within the next six months. Advisory: Issued when El Niño or La Niña conditions are observed and expected to continue. Final advisory: Issued after El Niño or La Niña conditions have ended. Not Active: ENSO Alert System is not active. Neither ...
The basin-wide equatorial upper ocean (0-300 m) heat content is greatest prior to and during the early stages of a Pacific warm (El Niño) episode (compare top 2 panels), and least prior to and during the early stages of a cold (La Niña) episode. The slope of the oceanic thermocline is least (greatest) during warm (cold) episodes.
Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion
2025年1月9日 · Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an ENSO blog .
IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society ...
The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion released on 12 December 2024 by the Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS maintained a La Niña watch and issued a 59% probability for the onset of La Niña in Nov-Jan 2024, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely by Mar-May 2025 (61% chance).
What to watch for: El Nino likely to develop this summer
2023年4月13日 · NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has issued an El Nino Watch this morning as part of its April ENSO outlook. A watch is issued when conditions are favorable for the development of El Nino within the next six months.
February 2024 ENSO Outlook: All along the La Niña WATCH-tower
2024年2月8日 · Yes, the February ENSO Outlook officially announces that we are in a La Niña Watch, even while, at the current moment, the Pacific Ocean remains in an El Niño (this is simultaneous to the ongoing El Niño Advisory—here is an explainer to help sort it out).
Overview | El Niño/La Niña Watch & PDO - Ocean Surface …
NOAA Climate Prediction Center/El Niño and La Niña - provides a continuous watch on short-term climate fluctuations and works to diagnose and predict them; Regional Forecasts for El Niño - El Niño and current situation as it relates to the ENSO cycle; Spaceborne monitoring tools
April 2023 ENSO update: El Niño Watch | NOAA Climate.gov
2023年4月13日 · Today we’re hoisting an El Niño Watch, meaning that conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño conditions within the next 6 months. In fact, there’s a 62% chance of El Niño conditions for the May–July period.
El Niño 2023 | El Niño/La Niña Watch & PDO – Ocean Surface …
2024年1月23日 · El Niño 2023. This animation shows the ongoing progress of the 2023 El Niño event. Like the historical images, these data are processed to remove the natural yearly cycle, and also the long-term trend caused by human interference with the climate.
Synopsis: La Niña conditions are present and are expected to persist through February-April 2025 (59% chance), with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (60% chance).